Advanced ERP Implementation Redesign - Extension
ID: 8720140-30
Potential Value
$816,667
Deal Value
$4,083,333
Stated Probability
25%
Days in Pipeline
343
Service Line
Assurance
Field of Play
Risk
Opportunity Sub-SL
Forensics
Competency
Incident Response & Resilience
Global Service Code
Strategic Advisory (50324)
Partner
Schneider Michelle
Pursuit Leader
Moore Frances
Open Date
Jun 4, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Sep 30, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Advanced ERP Implementation Redesign - Extension
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
59.8%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$79,679
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
59.8%
Model A: Planning
16.3%
Model B: Early Signal
3.9%
Stated Probability
25%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
16.3%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (16%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
3.9%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (4%). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size.