QualifyOver 90 Days

Agile Procurement Renewal - Renewal

ID: 8168282-30

Potential Value

$833,333

Deal Value

$4,666,667

Stated Probability

25%

Days in Pipeline

520

Client & Account

Client

Granite Banking Advisors

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Finance

Opportunity Sub-SL

Finance´

Competency

Business Planning, Reporting & Analytics

Global Service Code

Internal Controls - Management (52177)

People & Dates

Partner

Hall Justin

Pursuit Leader

Carter Emma

Open Date

Dec 9, 2024

Anticipated Win Date

Aug 21, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Agile Procurement Renewal - Renewal

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

31.7%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$54,146

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.535
Service sub-line track record
-0.508
US Federal business unit
-0.253

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

31.7%

Model A: Planning

20.5%

Model B: Early Signal

4.2%

Stated Probability

25%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

20.5%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.588
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.115
Lead sales credit %
-0.675

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (21%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

4.2%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.800
Service sub-line track record
-0.670
Deal size vs service line median
-0.619

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (4%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size vs service line median.