IdentifyWithin 30 Days

Extended Internal Audit Assessment

ID: 2974968-30

Potential Value

$2,000,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

147

Client & Account

Client

Cedar Maritime Consulting

City

Denver

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Technology

Opportunity Sub-SL

Technology

Competency

Enterprise IT Transformation

Global Service Code

TEC-Digital Systems Evolution (20232)

People & Dates

Partner

Ward Linda

Pursuit Leader

Chavez Heather

Open Date

Dec 17, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Apr 30, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Extended Internal Audit Assessment

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

34.6%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$131,348

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.693
Service sub-line track record
-0.482
Opportunity business unit
+0.266

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

34.6%

Model A: Planning

19.0%

Model B: Early Signal

3.1%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

19.0%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.250
Service sub-line track record
-0.826
Lead sales credit %
-0.739

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (19%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

3.1%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.924
Service sub-line track record
-0.641
Deal size vs service line median
-0.536

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (3%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size vs service line median.