Predictive Tax Reform Consolidation - Phase 3
ID: 9971631-10
Potential Value
$2,000,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
10%
Days in Pipeline
195
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Finance
Opportunity Sub-SL
Finance´
Competency
Finance Transformation, Strategy & Vision
Global Service Code
Policy Development (30982)
Partner
Bailey Pamela
Pursuit Leader
Bernard Sophia
Open Date
Oct 30, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Apr 30, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Predictive Tax Reform Consolidation - Phase 3
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
37.5%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$374,100
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
37.5%
Model A: Planning
49.9%
Model B: Early Signal
15.5%
Stated Probability
10%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
49.9%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (50%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %, service sub-line track record.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
15.5%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (16%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size.