IdentifyOver 90 Days

Innovative Procurement Workshop - Renewal

ID: 5098750-30

Potential Value

$2,000,000

Deal Value

$2,500,000

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

701

Client & Account

Client

Central Civic Associates

City

Chicago

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Customer & Growth

Opportunity Sub-SL

Customer & Growth

Competency

Product & Service Innovation

Global Service Code

Identity Management (86343)

People & Dates

Partner

Taylor Fritz

Pursuit Leader

Schneider Jean-Paul

Open Date

Jun 11, 2024

Anticipated Win Date

Jan 29, 2027

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Innovative Procurement Workshop - Renewal

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

18.6%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$313,782

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.628
Service sub-line track record
-0.460
Non-recurring work
-0.273

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

18.6%

Model A: Planning

84.4%

Model B: Early Signal

52.1%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

84.4%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.347
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.225
Lead sales credit %
-0.755

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (84%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

52.1%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.015
Service sub-line track record
-0.546
Market segment
-0.430

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a moderate probability of winning (52%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, market segment.