IdentifyOver 90 Days

Proactive Legacy System Phase II - Phase 3

ID: 5734587-20

Potential Value

$816,667

Deal Value

$4,083,333

Stated Probability

25%

Days in Pipeline

343

Client & Account

Client

Frontier Consortium

City

New York

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Technology

Opportunity Sub-SL

Technology

Competency

Enterprise IT Transformation

Global Service Code

TEC-Digital Systems Evolution (20232)

People & Dates

Partner

Schneider Michelle

Pursuit Leader

Moore Frances

Open Date

Jun 4, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Sep 30, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Proactive Legacy System Phase II - Phase 3

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

49.0%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$75,468

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.573
Service sub-line track record
-0.558
Account track record
+0.273

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

49.0%

Model A: Planning

18.8%

Model B: Early Signal

5.0%

Stated Probability

25%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

18.8%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.570
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.128
Lead sales credit %
-0.650

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (19%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

5.0%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.847
Service sub-line track record
-0.619
Deal size vs service line median
-0.526

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (5%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size vs service line median.