Modernized Program Management Phase I (Revised)
ID: 6823739-30
Potential Value
$10,000,000
Deal Value
$50,000,000
Stated Probability
10%
Days in Pipeline
195
Client
Granite Banking Advisors
City
Dallas
Region
USLI
Sub-Sector
FED
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Technology
Opportunity Sub-SL
Technology
Competency
Enterprise IT Transformation
Global Service Code
TEC-Digital Systems Evolution (20232)
Partner
Reddy Feng
Pursuit Leader
Martin Angela
Open Date
Oct 30, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Mar 26, 2027
Close Date
N/A
Description
Modernized Program Management Phase I (Revised)
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
36.4%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$309,764
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
36.4%
Model A: Planning
8.5%
Model B: Early Signal
2.8%
Stated Probability
10%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
8.5%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (9%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size vs service line median.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
2.8%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (3%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size vs service line median, service sub-line track record.