ClosingPast Due

Adaptive Legacy System Roadmap

ID: 4145706-10

Potential Value

$2,367,830

Deal Value

$7,842,194

Stated Probability

65%

Days in Pipeline

294

Client & Account

Client

Granite Banking Advisors

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Assurance

Field of Play

Technology

Opportunity Sub-SL

Forensics

Competency

Discovery & Analytics

Global Service Code

Benchmarking Services - Transformation (55783)

People & Dates

Partner

Gupta Miguel

Pursuit Leader

Koch Fritz

Open Date

Jul 23, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Feb 27, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Adaptive Legacy System Roadmap

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

58.7%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$693,950

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.641
Service sub-line track record
-0.505
Opportunity business unit
+0.341

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

58.7%

Model A: Planning

50.0%

Model B: Early Signal

5.5%

Stated Probability

65%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

50.0%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.097
Service sub-line track record
-0.853
Lead sales credit %
-0.692

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (50%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

5.5%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.858
Service sub-line track record
-0.693
Market segment
-0.417

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (6%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, market segment.