Predictive Regulatory Reporting Phase III
ID: 5902082-50
Potential Value
$3,000,000
Deal Value
$8,181,818
Stated Probability
25%
Days in Pipeline
209
Client
Granite Banking Advisors
City
Dallas
Region
USLI
Sub-Sector
FED
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Risk
Opportunity Sub-SL
Risk´
Competency
Integrated Risk Management
Global Service Code
Diversity Programs (52033)
Partner
Jimenez Magnus
Pursuit Leader
Koch Fritz
Open Date
Oct 16, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
May 4, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Predictive Regulatory Reporting Phase III
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
29.5%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$723,242
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
29.5%
Model A: Planning
81.8%
Model B: Early Signal
44.2%
Stated Probability
25%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
81.8%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (82%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: deal age (days since open), lead sales credit %.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
44.2%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a moderate probability of winning (44%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: market segment, deal size vs service line median.