ClosingPast Due

Digital ERP Implementation Solution (Amended)

ID: 4909324-10

Potential Value

$179,865

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

85%

Days in Pipeline

341

Client & Account

Client

Vanguard Operational Foundation

City

Boston

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

SaT

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Strategy and Execution

Competency

S&E - Reimagine Reshape & Grow

Global Service Code

Privacy Management (52422)

People & Dates

Partner

Schäfer Amit

Pursuit Leader

Suzuki Raj

Open Date

Jun 6, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Feb 27, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Digital ERP Implementation Solution (Amended)

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

87.3%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$151,170

Key Triage Drivers

Non-recurring work
+0.762
Work type
+0.697
Recurring/additional sale
+0.365

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

87.3%

Model A: Planning

96.2%

Model B: Early Signal

70.2%

Stated Probability

85%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

96.2%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.430
Lead sales credit %
-0.724
Recurring/additional sale
+0.602

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (96%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), recurring/additional sale. Factors working against: lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

70.2%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.115
Deal size vs service line median
-0.960
OpportunityType Additional Sales Opportunity
+0.534

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (70%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), opportunitytype additional sales opportunity. Factors working against: deal size vs service line median.