IdentifyOver 90 Days

Extended Stakeholder Engagement Scale-Up

ID: 8060482-40

Potential Value

$3,000,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

25%

Days in Pipeline

518

Client & Account

Client

Vanguard Operational Foundation

City

Boston

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Risk

Opportunity Sub-SL

Risk´

Competency

Internal Audit Transformation

Global Service Code

Environmental Compliance - Operations (63233)

People & Dates

Partner

Schäfer Amit

Pursuit Leader

Suzuki Raj

Open Date

Dec 11, 2024

Anticipated Win Date

Nov 30, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Extended Stakeholder Engagement Scale-Up

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

95.0%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$2,615,681

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.831
Non-recurring work
+0.806
Recurring/additional sale
+0.468

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

95.0%

Model A: Planning

91.7%

Model B: Early Signal

89.5%

Stated Probability

25%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

91.7%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-2.229
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.505
Lead sales credit %
-0.745

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (92%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

89.5%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.065
Recurring/additional sale
+0.579
OpportunityType Additional Sales Opportunity
+0.509

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (89%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), recurring/additional sale, opportunitytype additional sales opportunity.