PursuePast Due

Global Business Intelligence Program

ID: 6311881-50

Potential Value

$1,558,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

70%

Days in Pipeline

384

Client & Account

Client

Terra Systems

City

Washington

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Risk

Opportunity Sub-SL

Risk´

Competency

Third Party Risk Management

Global Service Code

Cost Reduction (99284)

People & Dates

Partner

Cook Akira

Pursuit Leader

Henderson Feng

Open Date

Apr 24, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Mar 31, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Global Business Intelligence Program

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

59.6%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$856,613

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.738
Service sub-line track record
-0.516
Renewal pursuit
+0.186

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

59.6%

Model A: Planning

92.2%

Model B: Early Signal

41.9%

Stated Probability

70%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

92.2%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.433
Lead sales credit %
-0.955
Service sub-line track record
-0.591

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (92%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: lead sales credit %, service sub-line track record.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

41.9%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+0.925
Service sub-line track record
-0.707
Renewal pursuit
+0.561

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a moderate probability of winning (42%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), renewal pursuit. Factors working against: service sub-line track record.