QualifyOver 90 Days

Regional Operations Pilot - FY25

ID: 6226811-20

Potential Value

-$30,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

40%

Days in Pipeline

394

Client & Account

Client

Lunar Technical Partners

City

Atlanta

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Tax

Field of Play

Organization & People

Opportunity Sub-SL

PAS - Tax

Competency

PAS - People Mobility Core

Global Service Code

Market Analysis (64214)

People & Dates

Partner

Brown Megan

Pursuit Leader

Moreau Melissa

Open Date

Apr 14, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Jul 31, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Regional Operations Pilot - FY25

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

96.6%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

-$19,477

Key Triage Drivers

Region track record
+1.061
Work type
+0.907
Service sub-line track record
+0.529

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

96.6%

Model A: Planning

67.2%

Model B: Early Signal

80.1%

Stated Probability

40%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

67.2%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.592
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.790
Lead sales credit %
-0.778

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (67%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

80.1%

Key Drivers

Region track record
+0.620
Field of play track record
-0.526
Currency (USD vs other)
-0.512

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (80%). Factors working in favor: region track record. Factors working against: field of play track record, currency (usd vs other).