IdentifyPast Due

Enhanced Customer Experience Scale-Up - FY25

ID: 6728043-20

Potential Value

$300,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

25%

Days in Pipeline

1155

Client & Account

Client

Vanguard Development

City

Washington

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Technology

Opportunity Sub-SL

Technology

Competency

Enterprise IT Transformation

Global Service Code

TEC-Digital Systems Evolution (20232)

People & Dates

Partner

Garcia Ann

Pursuit Leader

Weber Jean

Open Date

Mar 15, 2023

Anticipated Win Date

Mar 27, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Enhanced Customer Experience Scale-Up - FY25

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

23.5%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$55,081

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.594
Service sub-line track record
-0.457
Opportunity business unit
+0.283

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

23.5%

Model A: Planning

78.0%

Model B: Early Signal

59.6%

Stated Probability

25%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

78.0%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.527
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.136
Lead sales credit %
-0.777

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (78%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

59.6%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.004
Service sub-line track record
-0.607
Account business unit
-0.357

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a moderate probability of winning (60%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, account business unit.