PursueWithin 30 Days

Modernized Digital Transformation Renewal - Phase 3

ID: 7835161-40

Potential Value

$1,810,000

Deal Value

$1,750,000

Stated Probability

50%

Days in Pipeline

617

Client & Account

Client

Fusion Regulatory Systems

City

Houston

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Technology

Opportunity Sub-SL

Technology

Competency

Enterprise IT Transformation

Global Service Code

TEC-Digital Systems Evolution (20232)

People & Dates

Partner

Dubois Judy

Pursuit Leader

Sanchez James

Open Date

Sep 3, 2024

Anticipated Win Date

Apr 30, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Modernized Digital Transformation Renewal - Phase 3

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

54.3%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$589,010

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.657
Service sub-line track record
-0.393
Opportunity business unit
+0.247

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

54.3%

Model A: Planning

59.9%

Model B: Early Signal

6.9%

Stated Probability

50%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

59.9%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.224
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.004
Deal age (days since open)
+0.986

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (60%). Factors working in favor: deal age (days since open). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal).

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

6.9%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.863
Service sub-line track record
-0.660
Deal size
-0.470

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (7%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size.