Critical Cost Optimization Migration - Phase 2
ID: 8129849-30
Potential Value
$15,000,000
Deal Value
$15,000,000
Stated Probability
10%
Days in Pipeline
126
Service Line
Assurance
Field of Play
Risk
Opportunity Sub-SL
Forensics
Competency
Incident Response & Resilience
Global Service Code
Mediation Services (94774)
Partner
Taylor Marcel
Pursuit Leader
Jenkins Kathleen
Open Date
Jan 7, 2026
Anticipated Win Date
May 30, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Critical Cost Optimization Migration - Phase 2
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
66.4%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$1,399,226
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
66.4%
Model A: Planning
14.0%
Model B: Early Signal
3.1%
Stated Probability
10%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
14.0%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (14%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size vs service line median.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
3.1%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (3%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size vs service line median.