Identify60-90 Days

End-to-End IT Infrastructure Phase III - Extension

ID: 2162695-10

Potential Value

$500,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

306

Client & Account

Client

Allied Regulatory Advisors

City

Washington

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

SaT

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Transactions & Corporate Finance

Competency

TCF - Reimagine Reshape & Grow

Global Service Code

Regulatory Compliance (61122)

People & Dates

Partner

Aguilar Jean-Paul

Pursuit Leader

Nguyen Olivia

Open Date

Jul 11, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Jul 1, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

End-to-End IT Infrastructure Phase III - Extension

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

52.6%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$83,150

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.618
Opportunity business unit
+0.436
Deal size
-0.375

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

52.6%

Model A: Planning

31.6%

Model B: Early Signal

5.2%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

31.6%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.114
Time in current pipeline stage
-0.871
Lead sales credit %
-0.727

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (32%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

5.2%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.834
Deal size
-0.542
Service sub-line track record
-0.461

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (5%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size, service sub-line track record.