IdentifyPast Due

Transformative Governance Analysis

ID: 9008285-30

Potential Value

$80,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

50%

Days in Pipeline

117

Client & Account

Client

Catalyst Institute

City

Houston

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Tax

Field of Play

Tax

Opportunity Sub-SL

BTS

Competency

BTS - Quantitative Services

Global Service Code

Market Analysis - Compliance (85164)

People & Dates

Partner

Hughes Sara

Pursuit Leader

Jackson Emily

Open Date

Jan 16, 2026

Anticipated Win Date

Feb 16, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Transformative Governance Analysis

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

97.1%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$57,062

Key Triage Drivers

Region track record
+1.013
Work type
+0.832
Service sub-line track record
+0.477

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

97.1%

Model A: Planning

73.5%

Model B: Early Signal

68.8%

Stated Probability

50%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

73.5%

Key Drivers

Deal age (days since open)
-1.073
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.972
Lead sales credit %
-0.727

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (73%). Factors working against: deal age (days since open), brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

68.8%

Key Drivers

Deal size vs service line median
-0.872
Sub-sector track record
+0.849
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.538

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a moderate probability of winning (69%). Factors working in favor: sub-sector track record. Factors working against: deal size vs service line median, brand new pursuit (vs renewal).