PursuePast Due

Accelerated Business Intelligence Pilot - Pilot

ID: 9983700-30

Potential Value

$1

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

194

Client & Account

Client

Sigma Public Institute

City

Atlanta

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Risk

Opportunity Sub-SL

Risk´

Competency

Integrated Risk Management

Global Service Code

Diversity Programs (52033)

People & Dates

Partner

Collins Michelle

Pursuit Leader

Herrera Scott

Open Date

Oct 31, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Mar 31, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Accelerated Business Intelligence Pilot - Pilot

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

22.0%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$0

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.655
Service sub-line track record
-0.438
Deal size vs service line median
-0.372

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

22.0%

Model A: Planning

31.6%

Model B: Early Signal

14.5%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

31.6%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.925
Deal age (days since open)
-0.730
Lead sales credit %
-0.706

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (32%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal age (days since open), lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

14.5%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.541
Currency (USD vs other)
-0.452
Sub-sector track record
-0.431

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (15%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), currency (usd vs other), sub-sector track record.