Adaptive Risk Management Transformation - Phase 2
ID: 3857727-20
Potential Value
$6,239,144
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
90%
Days in Pipeline
162
Service Line
Assurance
Field of Play
Audit & Governance
Opportunity Sub-SL
Audit
Competency
Audit (CORE)
Global Service Code
Trade Compliance (46686)
Partner
Cox Yong
Pursuit Leader
Thompson Diego
Open Date
Dec 2, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Dec 16, 2027
Close Date
N/A
Description
Adaptive Risk Management Transformation - Phase 2
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
96.9%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$5,437,960
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
96.9%
Model A: Planning
89.9%
Model B: Early Signal
72.9%
Stated Probability
90%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
89.9%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (90%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, deal size vs service line median.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
72.9%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (73%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: deal size vs service line median, market segment.