IdentifyPast Due

Foundational ERP Implementation Initiative - Pilot

ID: 7585363-20

Potential Value

$300,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

181

Client & Account

Client

Cedar Agricultural Commission

City

Atlanta

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Assurance

Field of Play

Audit & Governance

Opportunity Sub-SL

Technology Risk

Competency

Technology Risk

Global Service Code

Fund Administration (63814)

People & Dates

Partner

Peterson André

Pursuit Leader

Johnson Stephen

Open Date

Nov 13, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Mar 31, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Foundational ERP Implementation Initiative - Pilot

Outcome Reason

<CONFIDENTIAL>

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

90.4%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$138,630

Key Triage Drivers

Service sub-line track record
+0.590
Work type
+0.564
Opportunity business unit
+0.503

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

90.4%

Model A: Planning

51.1%

Model B: Early Signal

13.8%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

51.1%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.280
Lead sales credit %
-0.695
Deal age (days since open)
-0.620

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (51%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %, deal age (days since open).

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

13.8%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.770
Service sub-line track record
-0.609
Market segment
-0.592

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (14%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, market segment.