Sustainable Legacy System Deployment (Amended)
ID: 2214386-50
Potential Value
$800,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
10%
Days in Pipeline
183
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Organization & People
Opportunity Sub-SL
Organization & People
Competency
Organization & Workforce Transformation
Global Service Code
Environmental Compliance - Compliance (54455)
Partner
Larsen Victoria
Pursuit Leader
Chavez Mark
Open Date
Nov 11, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Oct 30, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Sustainable Legacy System Deployment (Amended)
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
38.5%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$38,910
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
38.5%
Model A: Planning
12.6%
Model B: Early Signal
3.5%
Stated Probability
10%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
12.6%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (13%). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), time in current pipeline stage.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
3.5%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (4%). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size vs service line median.