Critical Program Management Pilot
ID: 3153132-50
Potential Value
$1,000,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
10%
Days in Pipeline
1155
Client
Omega Agricultural Consulting
Account
Copper Transport Ventures
City
Atlanta
Region
USLI
Sub-Sector
SLED
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Strategy & Transformation
Opportunity Sub-SL
Strategy & Transformation
Competency
Enterprise Transformation
Global Service Code
Process Reengineering (74403)
Partner
Collins Catherine
Pursuit Leader
Martin Angela
Open Date
Mar 15, 2023
Anticipated Win Date
Apr 13, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Critical Program Management Pilot
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
24.6%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$128,002
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
24.6%
Model A: Planning
52.0%
Model B: Early Signal
5.2%
Stated Probability
10%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
52.0%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (52%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
5.2%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (5%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size vs service line median.