IdentifyOver 90 Days

Predictive Asset Management Assessment - Renewal

ID: 6159159-30

Potential Value

-$1,000,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

183

Client & Account

Client

Vanguard Banking Worldwide

City

San Francisco

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Strategy & Transformation

Competency

Enterprise Transformation

Global Service Code

Process Reengineering (74403)

People & Dates

Partner

Schmidt Marilyn

Pursuit Leader

Müller Jacob

Open Date

Nov 11, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Sep 30, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Predictive Asset Management Assessment - Renewal

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

16.6%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

-$36,242

Key Triage Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-0.557
Account track record
-0.447
Work type
+0.441

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

16.6%

Model A: Planning

21.8%

Model B: Early Signal

5.2%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

21.8%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.251
Time in current pipeline stage
-0.812
Lead sales credit %
-0.635

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (22%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

5.2%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.906
Service sub-line track record
-0.474
Deal size vs service line median
-0.458

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (5%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size vs service line median.