ClosingOver 90 Days

Integrated Change Management Extension - FY26

ID: 5656501-30

Potential Value

$1,500,000

Deal Value

$1,500,000

Stated Probability

20%

Days in Pipeline

428

Client & Account

Client

Prime Agricultural Resources

City

Chicago

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Strategy & Transformation

Competency

Enterprise Transformation

Global Service Code

Process Reengineering (74403)

People & Dates

Partner

Schmidt Marilyn

Pursuit Leader

Sharma Kimberly

Open Date

Mar 11, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Nov 5, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Integrated Change Management Extension - FY26

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

26.5%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$100,134

Key Triage Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-0.581
Work type
+0.549
Deal size
-0.308

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

26.5%

Model A: Planning

25.2%

Model B: Early Signal

6.3%

Stated Probability

20%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

25.2%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.882
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.173
Lead sales credit %
-0.697

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (25%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

6.3%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.871
Service sub-line track record
-0.553
Market segment
-0.457

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (6%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, market segment.