End-to-End Supply Chain Consolidation - Renewal
ID: 9432710-20
Potential Value
$5,000,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
10%
Days in Pipeline
468
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Technology
Opportunity Sub-SL
Technology
Competency
AI and Data Transformation
Global Service Code
TEC-Intelligent Analytics Platform (20383)
Partner
Schmidt Marilyn
Pursuit Leader
Müller Jacob
Open Date
Jan 30, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Aug 3, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
End-to-End Supply Chain Consolidation - Renewal
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
15.5%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$670,652
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
15.5%
Model A: Planning
86.5%
Model B: Early Signal
31.9%
Stated Probability
10%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
86.5%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (86%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
31.9%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (32%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: deal size vs service line median, service sub-line track record.