Closing30-60 Days

Modernized Digital Transformation Extension - Extension

ID: 1976193-50

Potential Value

$638,622

Deal Value

$2,500,000

Stated Probability

50%

Days in Pipeline

359

Client & Account

Client

Vanguard Banking Worldwide

City

San Francisco

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Technology

Opportunity Sub-SL

Technology

Competency

Enterprise IT Transformation

Global Service Code

TEC-Digital Systems Evolution (20232)

People & Dates

Partner

Dubois Shirley

Pursuit Leader

Sharma Kimberly

Open Date

May 19, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

May 29, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Modernized Digital Transformation Extension - Extension

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

17.1%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$98,682

Key Triage Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-0.688
Account track record
-0.477
Work type
+0.460

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

17.1%

Model A: Planning

90.5%

Model B: Early Signal

49.3%

Stated Probability

50%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

90.5%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.567
Lead sales credit %
-0.744
Time in current pipeline stage
-0.630

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (90%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: lead sales credit %, time in current pipeline stage.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

49.3%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.012
Service sub-line track record
-0.455
Market segment
-0.424

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a moderate probability of winning (49%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, market segment.