PursueOver 90 Days

Dynamic Asset Management Analysis - Phase 3

ID: 1269318-10

Potential Value

$998,007

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

75%

Days in Pipeline

1337

Client & Account

Client

Epsilon Compliance Commission

City

Philadelphia

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Strategy & Transformation

Competency

Enterprise Transformation

Global Service Code

Process Reengineering (74403)

People & Dates

Partner

Singh Hans

Pursuit Leader

Myers Andrew

Open Date

Sep 14, 2022

Anticipated Win Date

Aug 1, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Dynamic Asset Management Analysis - Phase 3

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

97.4%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$856,491

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.739
Non-recurring work
+0.720
Renewal pursuit
+0.576

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

97.4%

Model A: Planning

88.1%

Model B: Early Signal

89.9%

Stated Probability

75%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

88.1%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.535
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.434
Lead sales credit %
-0.814

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (88%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

89.9%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.157
Deal size vs service line median
-0.610
Recurring/additional sale
+0.462

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (90%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), recurring/additional sale. Factors working against: deal size vs service line median.