Regional Legacy System Optimization - Renewal
ID: 3805436-10
Potential Value
-$1,000,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
10%
Days in Pipeline
183
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Technology
Opportunity Sub-SL
Technology
Competency
AI and Data Transformation
Global Service Code
TEC-Intelligent Analytics Platform (20383)
Partner
Schmidt Marilyn
Pursuit Leader
Müller Jacob
Open Date
Nov 11, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Sep 30, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Regional Legacy System Optimization - Renewal
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
16.8%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
-$38,242
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
16.8%
Model A: Planning
22.8%
Model B: Early Signal
5.3%
Stated Probability
10%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
22.8%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (23%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), time in current pipeline stage, deal age (days since open).
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
5.3%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (5%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size vs service line median.