IdentifyOver 90 Days

Modernized Market Entry Phase II - Pilot

ID: 5327793-10

Potential Value

$2,000,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

183

Client & Account

Client

Vanguard Banking Worldwide

City

San Francisco

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Strategy & Transformation

Competency

Enterprise Transformation

Global Service Code

Process Reengineering (74403)

People & Dates

Partner

Schmidt Marilyn

Pursuit Leader

Müller Jacob

Open Date

Nov 11, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Sep 30, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Modernized Market Entry Phase II - Pilot

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

17.4%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$100,791

Key Triage Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-0.531
Work type
+0.471
Account track record
-0.383

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

17.4%

Model A: Planning

28.9%

Model B: Early Signal

10.4%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

28.9%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.282
Time in current pipeline stage
-0.766
Lead sales credit %
-0.675

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (29%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

10.4%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.928
Service sub-line track record
-0.477
Market segment
-0.449

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (10%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, market segment.