Closing30-60 Days

Predictive Business Intelligence Solution

ID: 5797261-30

Potential Value

-$638,622

Deal Value

-$2,500,000

Stated Probability

50%

Days in Pipeline

359

Client & Account

Client

Vanguard Banking Worldwide

City

San Francisco

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Strategy & Transformation

Competency

Enterprise Transformation

Global Service Code

Process Reengineering (74403)

People & Dates

Partner

Dubois Shirley

Pursuit Leader

Sharma Kimberly

Open Date

May 19, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

May 29, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Predictive Business Intelligence Solution

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

19.3%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

-$110,467

Key Triage Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-0.576
Work type
+0.471
Account track record
-0.390

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

19.3%

Model A: Planning

89.4%

Model B: Early Signal

48.0%

Stated Probability

50%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

89.4%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.583
Lead sales credit %
-0.745
Time in current pipeline stage
-0.642

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (89%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: lead sales credit %, time in current pipeline stage.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

48.0%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.010
Market segment
-0.424
Service sub-line track record
-0.402

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a moderate probability of winning (48%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: market segment, service sub-line track record.