High-Impact Finance Review - Renewal
ID: 7937896-40
Potential Value
$250,000
Deal Value
$250,000
Stated Probability
10%
Days in Pipeline
450
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Organization & People
Opportunity Sub-SL
Organization & People
Competency
Organization & Workforce Transformation
Global Service Code
Portfolio Oversight (50069)
Partner
Schmidt Marilyn
Pursuit Leader
Müller Jacob
Open Date
Feb 17, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
May 31, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
High-Impact Finance Review - Renewal
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
21.3%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$18,182
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
21.3%
Model A: Planning
34.2%
Model B: Early Signal
11.2%
Stated Probability
10%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
34.2%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (34%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
11.2%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (11%). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size.