Innovative Compliance Initiative
ID: 4763740-40
Potential Value
$100,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
30%
Days in Pipeline
170
Client
Cedar Agricultural Commission
Account
Trailblazer Foundation
City
Lyon
Region
Europe West
Sub-Sector
SLED
Service Line
SaT
Field of Play
Strategy & Transformation
Opportunity Sub-SL
Strategy and Execution
Competency
S&E - Reimagine Reshape & Grow
Global Service Code
Fund Administration (63814)
Partner
Peterson André
Pursuit Leader
Martinez Hui
Open Date
Nov 24, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Mar 12, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Innovative Compliance Initiative
Outcome Reason
<CONFIDENTIAL>
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
67.0%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$22,016
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
67.0%
Model A: Planning
32.9%
Model B: Early Signal
10.7%
Stated Probability
30%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
32.9%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (33%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %, service sub-line track record.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
10.7%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (11%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, currency (usd vs other).