Sustainable Internal Audit Transformation
ID: 4528051-10
Potential Value
$5,000,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
10%
Days in Pipeline
146
Service Line
Assurance
Field of Play
Risk
Opportunity Sub-SL
Forensics
Competency
Incident Response & Resilience
Global Service Code
Mediation Services (94774)
Partner
Ramos Lars
Pursuit Leader
Campbell Joshua
Open Date
Dec 18, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Apr 30, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Sustainable Internal Audit Transformation
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
66.8%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$418,627
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
66.8%
Model A: Planning
12.5%
Model B: Early Signal
1.9%
Stated Probability
10%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
12.5%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (13%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size vs service line median.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
1.9%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (2%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size vs service line median, service sub-line track record.