IdentifyOver 90 Days

Proactive Cost Optimization Initiative (Amended)

ID: 4101180-40

Potential Value

$1,000,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

183

Client & Account

Client

Vanguard Banking Worldwide

City

San Francisco

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Technology

Opportunity Sub-SL

Technology

Competency

AI and Data Transformation

Global Service Code

TEC-Intelligent Analytics Platform (20383)

People & Dates

Partner

Schmidt Marilyn

Pursuit Leader

Müller Jacob

Open Date

Nov 11, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Sep 30, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Proactive Cost Optimization Initiative (Amended)

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

16.8%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$38,242

Key Triage Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-0.671
Account track record
-0.523
Work type
+0.476

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

16.8%

Model A: Planning

22.8%

Model B: Early Signal

6.0%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

22.8%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.230
Time in current pipeline stage
-0.845
Deal age (days since open)
-0.636

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (23%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), time in current pipeline stage, deal age (days since open).

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

6.0%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.907
Service sub-line track record
-0.536
Deal size vs service line median
-0.442

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (6%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size vs service line median.