PursueOver 90 Days

Critical Stakeholder Engagement Advisory

ID: 6068157-30

Potential Value

$2,781,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

70%

Days in Pipeline

573

Client & Account

Client

Vanguard Banking Worldwide

City

San Francisco

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Technology

Opportunity Sub-SL

Technology

Competency

AI and Data Transformation

Global Service Code

TEC-Intelligent Analytics Platform (20383)

People & Dates

Partner

Davis Beverly

Pursuit Leader

Sharma Kimberly

Open Date

Oct 17, 2024

Anticipated Win Date

Sep 15, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Critical Stakeholder Engagement Advisory

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

89.1%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$2,445,765

Key Triage Drivers

Non-recurring work
+0.723
Work type
+0.673
Service sub-line track record
-0.539

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

89.1%

Model A: Planning

98.7%

Model B: Early Signal

85.5%

Stated Probability

70%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

98.7%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.549
Time in current pipeline stage
-1.145
Lead sales credit %
-0.874

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (99%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

85.5%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.054
Deal size vs service line median
-1.045
Recurring/additional sale
+0.506

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (86%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), recurring/additional sale. Factors working against: deal size vs service line median.