IdentifyOver 90 Days

Proactive Quality Assurance Engagement - Renewal

ID: 1620254-50

Potential Value

-$2,000,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

183

Client & Account

Client

Vanguard Banking Worldwide

City

San Francisco

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Strategy & Transformation

Competency

Enterprise Transformation

Global Service Code

Process Reengineering (74403)

People & Dates

Partner

Schmidt Marilyn

Pursuit Leader

Müller Jacob

Open Date

Nov 11, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Sep 30, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Proactive Quality Assurance Engagement - Renewal

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

17.4%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

-$83,725

Key Triage Drivers

Service sub-line track record
-0.531
Work type
+0.471
Account track record
-0.383

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

17.4%

Model A: Planning

24.0%

Model B: Early Signal

4.8%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

24.0%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.245
Time in current pipeline stage
-0.779
Deal size vs service line median
-0.751

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (24%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), time in current pipeline stage, deal size vs service line median.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

4.8%

Key Drivers

Deal size vs service line median
-1.155
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.781
Service sub-line track record
-0.488

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (5%). Factors working against: deal size vs service line median, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record.