IdentifyWithin 30 Days

High-Impact Process Improvement Deployment - Phase 2

ID: 8064413-50

Potential Value

$10,000,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

146

Client & Account

Client

Epsilon Defense Council

City

Philadelphia

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Strategy & Transformation

Opportunity Sub-SL

Strategy & Transformation

Competency

Enterprise Transformation

Global Service Code

Process Reengineering (74403)

People & Dates

Partner

Ramos Lars

Pursuit Leader

Campbell Joshua

Open Date

Dec 18, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Apr 30, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

High-Impact Process Improvement Deployment - Phase 2

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

59.4%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$834,711

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.680
Service sub-line track record
-0.383
Deal size vs service line median
+0.260

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

59.4%

Model A: Planning

14.1%

Model B: Early Signal

2.2%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

14.1%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.347
Deal size vs service line median
-0.951
Service sub-line track record
-0.831

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (14%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size vs service line median, service sub-line track record.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

2.2%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.904
Deal size vs service line median
-0.866
Service sub-line track record
-0.610

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (2%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size vs service line median, service sub-line track record.