Innovative Change Management Solution
ID: 4348754-40
Potential Value
$500,000
Deal Value
$500,000
Stated Probability
50%
Days in Pipeline
218
Client
Pyro Compliance Trust
City
Washington
Region
USLI
Sub-Sector
FED
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Technology
Opportunity Sub-SL
Technology
Competency
AI and Data Transformation
Global Service Code
TEC-Intelligent Analytics Platform (20383)
Partner
Bell Hans
Pursuit Leader
Davis Marcel
Open Date
Oct 7, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Apr 15, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Innovative Change Management Solution
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
45.3%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$65,413
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
45.3%
Model A: Planning
28.9%
Model B: Early Signal
9.1%
Stated Probability
50%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
28.9%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (29%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, lead sales credit %.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
9.1%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (9%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size.