Adaptive Program Management Consolidation
ID: 9691348-10
Potential Value
$274,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
70%
Days in Pipeline
244
Service Line
Tax
Field of Play
Tax
Opportunity Sub-SL
BTS
Competency
BTS - Private Tax
Global Service Code
Fund Administration - Advisory (32210)
Partner
Gonzalez Yong
Pursuit Leader
Murphy Jean
Open Date
Sep 11, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Feb 28, 2027
Close Date
N/A
Description
Adaptive Program Management Consolidation
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
84.6%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$212,703
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
84.6%
Model A: Planning
91.8%
Model B: Early Signal
83.3%
Stated Probability
70%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
91.8%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (92%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, deal age (days since open).
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
83.3%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a high probability of winning (83%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), renewal pursuit. Factors working against: market segment.