PursueWithin 30 Days

Integrated Governance Extension

ID: 6031998-20

Potential Value

$1,000,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

25%

Days in Pipeline

419

Client & Account

Client

Horizon Government Worldwide

City

Philadelphia

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Customer & Growth

Opportunity Sub-SL

Customer & Growth

Competency

Marketing Transformation

Global Service Code

Financial Modeling - Operations (53708)

People & Dates

Partner

Rogers Joseph

Pursuit Leader

Weber Olivier

Open Date

Mar 20, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Apr 29, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Integrated Governance Extension

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

53.8%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$110,262

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.686
Service sub-line track record
-0.449
Region track record
+0.445

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

53.8%

Model A: Planning

20.5%

Model B: Early Signal

3.7%

Stated Probability

25%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

20.5%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.142
Time in current pipeline stage
-0.991
Lead sales credit %
-0.786

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (21%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

3.7%

Key Drivers

Deal size vs service line median
-0.825
Service sub-line track record
-0.739
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.715

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (4%). Factors working against: deal size vs service line median, service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal).