IdentifyOver 90 Days

Modernized Cost Optimization Transformation - Renewal

ID: 5358991-30

Potential Value

$5,000,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

1314

Client & Account

Client

Crest Resources

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Customer & Growth

Opportunity Sub-SL

Customer & Growth

Competency

Customer Experience

Global Service Code

Product Strategy - SellSep (80328)

People & Dates

Partner

Wright François

Pursuit Leader

Hall Kimberly

Open Date

Oct 7, 2022

Anticipated Win Date

Jan 29, 2027

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Modernized Cost Optimization Transformation - Renewal

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

26.3%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$685,897

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.658
Service sub-line track record
-0.392
Deal size (log scale)
-0.364

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

26.3%

Model A: Planning

52.1%

Model B: Early Signal

49.4%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

52.1%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.404
Time in current pipeline stage
-1.082
Lead sales credit %
-0.715

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a moderate probability of winning (52%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

49.4%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.046
Deal size
-0.594
Service sub-line track record
-0.520

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a moderate probability of winning (49%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: deal size, service sub-line track record.