Adaptive Supply Chain Framework - Extension
ID: 3243769-30
Potential Value
-$50,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
10%
Days in Pipeline
292
Service Line
Assurance
Field of Play
Risk
Opportunity Sub-SL
Forensics
Competency
Integrity & Compliance
Global Service Code
Security Assessment (30891)
Partner
Hansen Kathleen
Pursuit Leader
Schneider Hui
Open Date
Jul 25, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Jun 1, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Adaptive Supply Chain Framework - Extension
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
82.5%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
-$6,945
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
82.5%
Model A: Planning
16.8%
Model B: Early Signal
41.0%
Stated Probability
10%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
16.8%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (17%). Factors working against: deal age (days since open), service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal).
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
41.0%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a moderate probability of winning (41%). Factors working in favor: deal size vs service line median. Factors working against: service sub-line track record, field of play track record.