Integrated Risk Management Scale-Up - FY25
ID: 7018207-10
Potential Value
-$50,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
10%
Days in Pipeline
292
Service Line
Assurance
Field of Play
Risk
Opportunity Sub-SL
Forensics
Competency
Integrity & Compliance
Global Service Code
Security Assessment (30891)
Partner
Hansen Kathleen
Pursuit Leader
Schneider Hui
Open Date
Jul 25, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Jun 1, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Integrated Risk Management Scale-Up - FY25
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
82.5%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
-$6,132
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
82.5%
Model A: Planning
14.9%
Model B: Early Signal
25.7%
Stated Probability
10%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
14.9%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (15%). Factors working against: deal age (days since open), service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal).
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
25.7%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (26%). Factors working in favor: region track record. Factors working against: service sub-line track record, field of play track record.