IdentifyOver 90 Days

Integrated Program Management Phase I

ID: 5817400-30

Potential Value

$300,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

10%

Days in Pipeline

841

Client & Account

Client

River Alliance

City

Atlanta

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Customer & Growth

Opportunity Sub-SL

Customer & Growth

Competency

Customer Experience

Global Service Code

Product Strategy - SellSep (80328)

People & Dates

Partner

Carter Timothy

Pursuit Leader

Martin Brian

Open Date

Jan 23, 2024

Anticipated Win Date

Oct 3, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Integrated Program Management Phase I

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

42.1%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$95,882

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.509
Deal size
-0.388
Service sub-line track record
-0.377

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

42.1%

Model A: Planning

75.9%

Model B: Early Signal

20.6%

Stated Probability

10%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

75.9%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.268
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.832
Lead sales credit %
-0.799

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (76%). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

20.6%

Key Drivers

Deal size
-0.670
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.650
Currency (USD vs other)
-0.628

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (21%). Factors working against: deal size, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), currency (usd vs other).