Foundational Risk Management Deployment
ID: 2587654-40
Potential Value
$500,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
10%
Days in Pipeline
198
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Organization & People
Opportunity Sub-SL
Organization & People
Competency
HR Transformation
Global Service Code
Asset Recovery (63713)
Partner
Lopez Miguel
Pursuit Leader
Robinson Patricia
Open Date
Oct 27, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
May 29, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Foundational Risk Management Deployment
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
38.9%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$39,892
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
38.9%
Model A: Planning
20.5%
Model B: Early Signal
8.0%
Stated Probability
10%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
20.5%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (21%). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal age (days since open).
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
8.0%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (8%). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal size.