Core Technology Modernization Optimization - Phase 2
ID: 4916852-40
Potential Value
$500,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
50%
Days in Pipeline
217
Client
Pyro Compliance Trust
City
Washington
Region
USLI
Sub-Sector
FED
Service Line
Consulting
Field of Play
Technology
Opportunity Sub-SL
Technology
Competency
Enterprise IT Transformation
Global Service Code
TEC-Digital Systems Evolution (20232)
Partner
Carter Magnus
Pursuit Leader
Davis Marcel
Open Date
Oct 8, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
May 18, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Core Technology Modernization Optimization - Phase 2
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
45.3%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
$64,009
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
45.3%
Model A: Planning
28.3%
Model B: Early Signal
9.1%
Stated Probability
50%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
28.3%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (28%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, lead sales credit %.
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
9.1%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (9%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size.