Predictive Governance Architecture
ID: 4810008-50
Potential Value
-$350,000
Deal Value
$0
Stated Probability
10%
Days in Pipeline
292
Service Line
Assurance
Field of Play
Risk
Opportunity Sub-SL
Forensics
Competency
Integrity & Compliance
Global Service Code
Change Leadership (50666)
Partner
Hansen Kathleen
Pursuit Leader
Schneider Hui
Open Date
Jul 25, 2025
Anticipated Win Date
Jun 1, 2026
Close Date
N/A
Description
Predictive Governance Architecture
Triage & Expected Value
Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline
P(Pursue)
56.4%
Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)
-$42,956
Key Triage Drivers
Win Probability Models
P(Pursue)
56.4%
Model A: Planning
21.8%
Model B: Early Signal
9.5%
Stated Probability
10%
Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.
Win Probability
21.8%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (22%). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, brand new pursuit (vs renewal), deal age (days since open).
Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.
Win Probability
9.5%
Key Drivers
Plain English
The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (9%). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, deal size, brand new pursuit (vs renewal).