IdentifyOver 90 Days

Regional IT Infrastructure Phase II (Amended)

ID: 2020641-30

Potential Value

$6,000,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

20%

Days in Pipeline

761

Client & Account

Client

Delta Security Federation

City

Denver

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

SLED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Technology

Opportunity Sub-SL

Technology

Competency

Enterprise IT Transformation

Global Service Code

TEC-Digital Systems Evolution (20232)

People & Dates

Partner

Ramirez Kevin

Pursuit Leader

Chavez Heather

Open Date

Apr 12, 2024

Anticipated Win Date

Sep 30, 2026

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Regional IT Infrastructure Phase II (Amended)

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

44.2%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$2,075,864

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.649
Service sub-line track record
-0.428
Expansion pursuit
-0.266

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

44.2%

Model A: Planning

78.2%

Model B: Early Signal

45.7%

Stated Probability

20%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

78.2%

Key Drivers

Time in current pipeline stage
-1.700
Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.320
Lead sales credit %
-0.811

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a high probability of winning (78%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: time in current pipeline stage, lead sales credit %.

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

45.7%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
+1.183
Service sub-line track record
-0.538
Market segment
-0.410

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a moderate probability of winning (46%). Factors working in favor: brand new pursuit (vs renewal). Factors working against: service sub-line track record, market segment.