IdentifyOver 90 Days

Cross-Functional Service Delivery Scale-Up

ID: 4005839-10

Potential Value

$500,000

Deal Value

$0

Stated Probability

25%

Days in Pipeline

203

Client & Account

Client

Atlantic Security Agency

City

Dallas

Region

USLI

Sub-Sector

FED

Service Classification

Service Line

Consulting

Field of Play

Technology

Opportunity Sub-SL

Technology

Competency

Enterprise IT Transformation

Global Service Code

TEC-Digital Systems Evolution (20232)

People & Dates

Partner

Nelson Robert

Pursuit Leader

Jansen Andrew

Open Date

Oct 22, 2025

Anticipated Win Date

Jun 25, 2027

Close Date

N/A

Details

Description

Cross-Functional Service Delivery Scale-Up

Triage & Expected Value

Triage Model: P(Pursue)

Predicts likelihood of pursuit vs. decline

P(Pursue)

45.3%

Expected Value (EV = P(Pursue) × P(Win) × Value)

$44,666

Key Triage Drivers

Work type
+0.592
Service sub-line track record
-0.552
Opportunity business unit
+0.273

Win Probability Models

P(Pursue)

45.3%

Model A: Planning

19.7%

Model B: Early Signal

9.1%

Stated Probability

25%

Model A: Planning

Includes deal age and timeline factors. Best for active pipeline management.

Win Probability

19.7%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-1.145
Time in current pipeline stage
-0.879
Deal age (days since open)
-0.770

Plain English

The model a: planning estimates a low probability of winning (20%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), time in current pipeline stage, deal age (days since open).

Model B: Early Signal

Excludes timeline factors. Better for early-stage assessment.

Win Probability

9.1%

Key Drivers

Brand new pursuit (vs renewal)
-0.801
Service sub-line track record
-0.606
Deal size
-0.569

Plain English

The model b: early signal estimates a low probability of winning (9%). Factors working against: brand new pursuit (vs renewal), service sub-line track record, deal size.